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Report published June 16, 2026

Goldman Sachs Morning Market Update: June 16, 2026

Goldman Sachs · June 16, 2026

This report summarizes key market developments including the Bank of Japan's rate hike, revised oil price forecasts following a Strait of Hormuz deal, lackluster Chinese economic data, and the RBA's decision to hold rates.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Bank of Japan hiked rates by 25bp and continues to guide toward further normalization.
  • 2.Goldman Sachs lowered its Brent oil price forecasts for 2026 and 2027 following news of a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 3.China's May activity data missed expectations, highlighting weak domestic demand.

Table of Contents

  • 1) BoJ Recap
  • 2) COMMODITIES RESEARCH (STRUYVEN) – Reducing Our Price Forecast on Deal to Reopen Hormuz
  • 3) China Data
  • 4) RBA Recap

Report data

BOJ is Expected to Gradually Reduce Monthly JGB Purchases Until March 2027 and Maintain Purchases Volume from April 2027 Onward

MetricEstimateContext
BoJ Rate Hike25 bpsBoJ rate hike decision
Brent Crude Price Forecast80 USDReduction from $90
Source: BoJ; Goldman Sachs. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Morning Market Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on June 16, 2026.

Part of the Morning Market Update series — view all 4 editions

Looking for the latest edition? GS MORNING 1) JPY - Intervention Zoom Today 2) JPY Update 3) Thoughts From The Floor 4) FX Trader Bullets and 5) Week Ahead Previews (Aug 3, 2026)

  1. May 21GS MORNING 1) RBA Call Change, 2) FOMC Minutes, 3) HUF Update, 4) FX Trader Call Takeaways and 5) NOK Oil Proposition

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