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Report published June 30, 2026

Goldman Sachs Morning Market Update: June 30, 2026 – Fed, FX, and Inflation Insights

Goldman Sachs · June 30, 2026

This morning's brief covers the US Supreme Court ruling on Fed Governor Cook, the continued surge in USD/JPY, improving US inflation forecasts for H2 2026, and the ECB's September policy outlook.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Supreme Court denied stay of injunction against Fed Governor Lisa Cook's firing, supporting Fed independence but leaving merit case for District Court.
  • 2.USD/JPY breached 162, with intervention risks rising but client conviction waning compared to prior weeks.
  • 3.US inflation expected to improve in 2026H2; ECB September rate hike remains the baseline despite lower energy prices.

Table of Contents

  • 1) US POLITICAL ECONOMICS (PHILLIPS) – Supreme Court Ruling Supports Fed Independence but Further Challenges Likely
  • 2) USDJPY Update
  • 3) ADAM CROOK – Connecting You to GS: Thoughts from The Floor
  • 4) EU ECON (STEHN) – ECB: Hike or Hold ?

Report data

Intervention Day Ranges

MetricEstimateContext
USDJPY Spot162.41 PriceTokyo fixing high

Reports in this series

GS Morning Market Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on June 30, 2026.

Part of the GS Morning Market Update series — view all 11 editions

Looking for the latest edition? GS MORNING 1) Oil Tracker, 2) USDJPY Topside, 3) Korea Update, 4) Just The Charts and 5) AUD CPI Preview (Jul 28, 2026)

  1. Jun 9GS MORNING 1) De-Dollarisation Webcast Takeaways, 2) Praneet Shah on the GS Weekend Macro Call, 3) BRL Update, 4) IDR Update and 5) SPX Rates Trade Idea
  2. Jun 19GS MORNING: 1) USD and Fed Credibility, 2) GBP Update, 3) US Inflation and 4) Moderated Gold Forecast
  3. Jun 24GS MORNING: 1) FX Trader Call Today, 2) NBH Recap, 3) GBP Update and 4) AUD CPI Recap

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