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Goldman Sachs

June 6, 2026

Global Rates Trader A Higher Floor

Rates StrategyRates Govt BondsRates CreditOther

The report highlights a shift to a higher floor for US Treasury yields following a strong labor market report. It maintains a cautious view on global rates with specific adjustments to UK Gilt forecasts and monitoring of BoJ hawkishness.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The May US labor market report has set a higher floor for US yields, prompting upward revisions to UST yield forecasts.
  • 2.The ECB is expected to hike rates in June, while the Bank of Japan shows hawkish signals that may lead to front-end rate underperformance.

Table of Contents

  • United States and Canada
  • Europe
  • Japan
  • Latest Thematic Research
  • Latest Global Markets Dailies
  • Forecasts
  • Central Bank Dashboard
  • Positioning and Flows Monitor
  • Carry/Rolldown Monitor
  • Treasury Supply Monitor
  • GS Term Premium Decomposition
  • 2026 Trade Recommendations
  • Global Interest Rates Strategy
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

George ColeWilliam MarshallSimon FreycenetIsabella RosenbergFriedrich SchaperLoic Mathys

Securities

10y UST10Y Gilt

Themes

Higher for Longer Interest RatesCentral Bank Policy Normalization

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesCanadaJapan