The market enters the Q2 2026 earnings season with strong growth expectations and high single-stock volatility. Investor sentiment is broadening as AI infrastructure remains a primary growth driver despite a recent tech-led selloff.
Key Takeaways
- 1.S&P 500 earnings growth expectations for Q2 are strong at 22% year/year, with AI infrastructure stocks contributing nearly 60% of that growth.
- 2.Market leadership is broadening beyond AI winners as shown by a record low 1-year rolling correlation between the S&P Equal Weight and S&P 500 indices.
- 3.Hedge fund positioning saw significant selling in Information Technology, specifically Semiconductors, while net exposure remains at the 98th percentile.
Table of Contents
- What We're Watching
- Contribution to year/year EPS growth
- Standouts from last week
- GS Rating and Conviction List Changes
Document Preview
Access the Full Report
Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.
Authors
Matthew KaplanJonathan HurvitzChloe GarberLilly Belt
Securities
MUNVDAGOOGL
Themes
AI Infrastructure InvestmentEarnings Season DispersionHyperscaler Capex
Regions
GlobalUnited StatesJapanChina
