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Goldman Sachs

June 29, 2026

Global Equities Call

Daily UpdateEquitiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

The market enters the Q2 2026 earnings season with strong growth expectations and high single-stock volatility. Investor sentiment is broadening as AI infrastructure remains a primary growth driver despite a recent tech-led selloff.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.S&P 500 earnings growth expectations for Q2 are strong at 22% year/year, with AI infrastructure stocks contributing nearly 60% of that growth.
  • 2.Market leadership is broadening beyond AI winners as shown by a record low 1-year rolling correlation between the S&P Equal Weight and S&P 500 indices.
  • 3.Hedge fund positioning saw significant selling in Information Technology, specifically Semiconductors, while net exposure remains at the 98th percentile.

Table of Contents

  • What We're Watching
  • Contribution to year/year EPS growth
  • Standouts from last week
  • GS Rating and Conviction List Changes

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Authors

Matthew KaplanJonathan HurvitzChloe GarberLilly Belt

Securities

MUNVDAGOOGL

Themes

AI Infrastructure InvestmentEarnings Season DispersionHyperscaler Capex

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesJapanChina