End of Week Market Intelligence

This report covers the impact of lower oil prices following the resolution of the Strait of Hormuz crisis and the shifting interest rate expectations under new Fed Chair Warsh. It highlights a structural shift toward a 'Post Modern Cycle' favoring capital-intensive AI infrastructure investment.

Key Takeaways

• 1.The Strait of Hormuz reopening and Iran war resolution led to a sharp decline in oil prices, with Brent oil forecasts lowered by 10%+.
• 2.Market focus has shifted to the new Fed interest rate trajectory following the first FOMC meeting under new Chair Warsh.
• 3.Investment strategy is shifting away from historical stock buybacks towards capital intensity and investing in business to accelerate growth and margins.

Table of Contents

• End of Week Market Intelligence: if it's not one thing...
• ... it's another*
• chart of the week
• What to watch for
• This week’s market performance - June 18, 2026, 4:00 PM
• Global Market Intelligence
• Resource Corner
• Macro Publications & Features
• Micro Publications & Features
• Listening in at Goldman Sachs
• Disclosure Appendix

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