Goldman Sachs
June 22, 2026
Demographics To Demand
Macro ThematicEquitiesHealth CareConsumer Discretionary
This report introduces a Demographic-Driven Demand (DDD) framework to analyze how aging and declining populations across the developed world influence company-level revenue. It highlights industries with demographic tailwinds (e.g., Healthcare, Utilities) versus those facing significant headwinds (e.g., Autos, Apparel).
Key Takeaways
- 1.Demographic shifts (aging, falling fertility, declining young populations) create predictable tailwinds and headwinds for industry/company revenue.
- 2.Companies with favorable demographic profiles (as measured by the new DDD framework) have outperformed with larger consensus revenue beats.
- 3.Older demographics (65+) show higher consumption propensity for Home Improvement, Healthcare, Reading, and Utilities.
Table of Contents
- Demographics to Demand - Investable Conclusions
- Demographics to Demand - Summary in charts
- Demographics to Demand In Numbers
- Introducing our Demographic-Driven Demand (DDD) framework to measure company exposure to demographic headwinds and tailwinds
- Buy-rated companies that screen for Demographic Demand tailwinds through 2030
- Spending Shifts: Implications for Industries, and Companies — Detail on our Demographic-Driven Demand (DDD) framework
- The Healthcare Growth Paradox: Decelerating Momentum
- Global Autos at a strategic crossroads amidst aging and declining driver populations, but opportunities in AVs ahead
- Senior Living & Aging at Home
- Leisure & Entertainment – Spending habits of older population
- Electricity Consumption - Residential electricity consumption set to rise amidst aging population
- Regional Case Studies: US & Japan
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Authors
Evan TylendaGrace ChenBrian Singer, CFABrendan CorbettXavier Zhang
Securities
Maruti Suzuki IndiaHDABI
Themes
Demographic DilemmaAging PopulationsAI and Automation
Regions
GlobalUnited StatesJapanIndia
