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Goldman Sachs

June 22, 2026

Demographic Dilemma Identifying Winners and Losers

Macro ThematicEquitiesConsumer StaplesConsumer Discretionary

Goldman Sachs presents a demographic analysis evaluating how aging populations and declining fertility rates shift consumer demand globally. The report introduces a Demographic Driven Demand (DDD) model to identify companies best positioned to benefit from these long-term trends.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global fertility rates are declining, leading to peak population in developed markets for core consumers (35-55) while the 65+ demographic is expanding rapidly.
  • 2.Goldman Sachs developed a Demographic Driven Demand (DDD) model to project company-level revenue impact based on regional demographic shifts.
  • 3.Specific sectors like health care, pet care, and leisure are identified as demographic winners, whereas education, apparel, and electronics face headwinds from aging cohorts.

Table of Contents

  • Demographic Dilemma – Identifying winners & losers
  • Macro, Strategy & Big Picture Themes
  • Staples
  • Retail & Digital
  • Luxury, Sporting Goods & Brands
  • GS Upcoming Events

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