Goldman Sachs
June 22, 2026
Demographic Dilemma Identifying Winners and Losers
Macro ThematicEquitiesConsumer StaplesConsumer Discretionary
Goldman Sachs presents a demographic analysis evaluating how aging populations and declining fertility rates shift consumer demand globally. The report introduces a Demographic Driven Demand (DDD) model to identify companies best positioned to benefit from these long-term trends.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Global fertility rates are declining, leading to peak population in developed markets for core consumers (35-55) while the 65+ demographic is expanding rapidly.
- 2.Goldman Sachs developed a Demographic Driven Demand (DDD) model to project company-level revenue impact based on regional demographic shifts.
- 3.Specific sectors like health care, pet care, and leisure are identified as demographic winners, whereas education, apparel, and electronics face headwinds from aging cohorts.
Table of Contents
- Demographic Dilemma – Identifying winners & losers
- Macro, Strategy & Big Picture Themes
- Staples
- Retail & Digital
- Luxury, Sporting Goods & Brands
- GS Upcoming Events
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Authors
Natasha de la Grense
Securities
ELBNTSCO.L
Themes
Aging PopulationsRetail Media
Regions
GlobalAsia PacificUnited StatesIndiaChina
