Goldman Sachs
June 15, 2026
Americas Consumer Finance: Master Trust and More
Market ReportEquitiesRates CreditFinancials
May data for Americas Consumer Finance issuers shows solid credit metrics with delinquencies and net charge-offs (NCOs) performing better than seasonal expectations. Loan growth exceeded forecasts, indicating positive momentum for 2Q26 performance.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Credit metrics for May showed improving DQ trends and net charge-offs (NCOs) generally in-line or better than expectations, positioning issuers for outperformance in 2Q26.
- 2.Loan growth across issuers was strong, exceeding monthly seasonality and consensus expectations.
Table of Contents
- Master Trust and More: QTD results pointing to NCO outperformance
- Table of Contents
- Sizing the path for card issuers to reach 2Q26 consensus expectations
- COF auto metrics point to improvement at ALLY
- Monthly data: Summary of May stats
- Credit metrics solid as DQs in-line while NCOs slightly outperform
- AXP: DQs outperform while NCOs in-line
- COF: DQs a touch better while NCOs in-line
- SYF: DQs and NCOs in-line
- BFH: DQ's outperform while NCOs underperform (on the back of meaningful outperformance in Apr)
- COF's auto monthly metrics - DQ's outperform while NCOs underperform; loans outperform
- Delinquencies approaching pre-pandemic levels with the pace of YoY change continuing to moderate
- Card recoveries likely to trend higher from here representing a tailwind to NCO rates:
- Used car prices remain elevated
- Appendix - Monthly credit trends in the last twelve months
- Disclosure Appendix
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Authors
Ryan M. Nash, CFALucas Haimes
Securities
AXPBFHCOFSYF
Themes
NCO OutperformanceConsumer Loan Growth
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
