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FTSE Russell

Report published June 4, 2026

Emerging Asia (ex China) Government Bonds Monthly – June 2026

FTSE Russell · June 4, 2026

Emerging Asia government bond markets are experiencing a divergence between low and high yielders as energy-shock-driven inflation leads to central bank policy tightening in the Philippines and Indonesia. Malaysia stands out as a strong performer due to its policy stability.

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Finvaulta summarizes FTSE Russell's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Energy shock effects are bifurcating Emerging Asia bond markets into high-yielders and low-yielders.
  • 2.Malaysia continues to outperform as a strong performer due to a stable policy regime and attractive roll-down.
  • 3.Central banks in Indonesia and the Philippines have raised rates to defend currencies and inflation targets.

Table of Contents

  • Macroeconomic backdrop
  • Emerging Asia govt bond markets
  • Spotlight on Thailand
  • Yield levels and changes (%)
  • Government bond returns (%)
  • Appendices

Report data

Charts 3 & 4 (Macro-economic backdrop)

MetricEstimateContext
Indonesian central bank rate hike50 bpsMove to defend the rupiah.
Philippines headline inflation7%Driven by lack of energy subsidies.
Source: Bank Indonesia. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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