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Deutsche Bank

July 8, 2026

An Em Fx Hedge For A Tech Unwind

FX StrategyFXInformation Technology

Deutsche Bank identifies being short ILS/KRW as a strategic hedge against a potential unwind in the global tech cycle. The trade exploits diverging investor behavior regarding tech exposure between Israeli and Korean markets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Shorting ILS/KRW serves as a potential hedge against a broad tech sell-off given the extreme tech-cycle sensitivity of these currencies.
  • 2.The Shekel (ILS) correlation with US tech is driven by domestic institutional investors rebalancing, while the Won (KRW) correlation is driven by foreign investor outflows.

Table of Contents

  • An EM FX hedge for a tech unwind
  • Appendix 1
  • Important Disclosures
  • Analyst Certification
  • Additional Information

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