Finvaulta

Overseas Arrivals and Departures

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer Discretionary

Australian international arrivals grew 7.7% in 2025, but tourism remains below pre-pandemic levels, particularly for high-spending Chinese visitors. Meanwhile, the education sector shows signs of cooling as government visa caps lead to declining student enrolments and lodgements.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Total international arrivals and departures in Australia grew by 7.7% and 8.4% year-on-year respectively in December 2025.
  • 2.Government caps on student visas are starting to impact the sector, with declines in enrolments, lodgements, and grants throughout 2025.
  • 3.The slow recovery of high-spending Chinese tourists (averaging $10,987 per trip) remains a headwind for the Australian tourism industry compared to lower-spending cohorts like New Zealanders.

Table of Contents

  • Overseas Arrivals and Departures - December
  • No Reliance
  • Liability Disclaimer
  • Forward-Looking Statements, Valuations, Projections and Forecasts
  • Financial Markets Product Risk
  • Data of the Group
  • Group may act as a Market Maker
  • Analyst Certification and Disclaimer
  • Substantial Shareholdings
  • Dealer Panels
  • Conflicts of Interest
  • Fees
  • Additional Information
  • Copyright
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Authors

Lucinda Jerogin

Securities

CommBank Household Spending Insights

Themes

Compositional Shift in Consumer SpendingImpact of Government Policy on MigrationPost-Pandemic Tourism Normalization

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeNorth AmericaAustraliaChinaNew Zealand