Citi Research maintains a USD-positive outlook ahead of upcoming US data prints. They continue to hold bearish positions on EURUSD through put spreads.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Market risks remain USD-positive heading into US CPI data, supporting a hold on EURUSD put spreads.
- 2.Street core CPI expectations have lowered, making the bar for an upside surprise lower.
- 3.G9 FX positioning against USD may see further short covering if data and Fed policy lean hawkish.
Table of Contents
- CITI'S TAKE
- Appendix A-1
- RESEARCH ANALYST AFFILIATIONS / NON-US RESEARCH ANALYST DISCLOSURES
- OTHER DISCLOSURES
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Authors
Daniel TobonBrian LevineOsamu Takashima
Securities
DXYBrent CrudeEURUSD
Themes
Fed Policy NormalizationUSD Asymmetry
Regions
GlobalUnited StatesJapanSwitzerland
