This report monitors the global and domestic factors impacting fuel prices for New Zealand consumers, including crude oil benchmarks, refining margins, and import dynamics.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Fuel prices at the pump for New Zealanders are determined by a combination of global factors including crude oil benchmarks, refining margins, freight costs, and the NZD/USD exchange rate.
- 2.Since the 2022 closure of the Marsden Point refinery, New Zealand has transitioned from importing crude oil to importing refined fuel products exclusively.
Table of Contents
- Introduction
- ANZ card spending at fuel stations
- National weekly average price paid by consumers as of last Friday
- Crude prices expressed in NZD
- Singapore refined fuel prices expressed in NZD (Petrol)
- Singapore refined fuel prices expressed in NZD (Diesel)
- Crack spreads
- Refining margins
- Spot-front spread
- Brent futures curve – the market’s take
- Brent futures – The evolving shape of the curve
- New Zealand’s fuel supply (days of cover)
- Strait of Hormuz vessel crossings
- Freight costs
- Breaking down the price Kiwis pay at the pump (petrol)
- Breaking down the price Kiwis pay at the pump (diesel)
- The New Zealand dollar
- OPEC estimated monthly production
- Monthly fuel imports by country (main suppliers)
- Fuel imports by country of origin (historical)
- Fuel supply by method
- Fuel demand by main sector (time series)
- Diesel and petrol end use in “normal times”
- Diesel end use: Breakdown of non-road transport in “normal times”
- Petrol end use: Breakdown of non-road transport in “normal times”
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Authors
Miles Workman
Securities
Brent CrudeMurban Crude
Themes
Energy Market DynamicsRefining Capacity
Regions
Asia PacificNew ZealandUnited Arab EmiratesSingapore
