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July 9, 2026

Weekly Fuel Market Watch

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesFXEnergy

This report monitors the global and domestic factors impacting fuel prices for New Zealand consumers, including crude oil benchmarks, refining margins, and import dynamics.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Fuel prices at the pump for New Zealanders are determined by a combination of global factors including crude oil benchmarks, refining margins, freight costs, and the NZD/USD exchange rate.
  • 2.Since the 2022 closure of the Marsden Point refinery, New Zealand has transitioned from importing crude oil to importing refined fuel products exclusively.

Table of Contents

  • Introduction
  • ANZ card spending at fuel stations
  • National weekly average price paid by consumers as of last Friday
  • Crude prices expressed in NZD
  • Singapore refined fuel prices expressed in NZD (Petrol)
  • Singapore refined fuel prices expressed in NZD (Diesel)
  • Crack spreads
  • Refining margins
  • Spot-front spread
  • Brent futures curve – the market’s take
  • Brent futures – The evolving shape of the curve
  • New Zealand’s fuel supply (days of cover)
  • Strait of Hormuz vessel crossings
  • Freight costs
  • Breaking down the price Kiwis pay at the pump (petrol)
  • Breaking down the price Kiwis pay at the pump (diesel)
  • The New Zealand dollar
  • OPEC estimated monthly production
  • Monthly fuel imports by country (main suppliers)
  • Fuel imports by country of origin (historical)
  • Fuel supply by method
  • Fuel demand by main sector (time series)
  • Diesel and petrol end use in “normal times”
  • Diesel end use: Breakdown of non-road transport in “normal times”
  • Petrol end use: Breakdown of non-road transport in “normal times”

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Authors

Miles Workman

Securities

Brent CrudeMurban Crude

Themes

Energy Market DynamicsRefining Capacity

Regions

Asia PacificNew ZealandUnited Arab EmiratesSingapore