The Bank of Thailand held its policy rate at 1.00% in a unanimous decision, citing an uneven recovery. ANZ Research anticipates a more hawkish path ahead, calling for two 25bp hikes in the second half of 2026 due to sticky inflation risks.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Bank of Thailand held the policy rate at 1.00% as expected.
- 2.ANZ Research forecasts 25bp rate hikes in both Q3 and Q4 2026 to address inflationary risks and rebuild policy space.
- 3.Growth remains uneven, driven by exports and AI-related investment, despite ongoing pressures on private consumption.
Table of Contents
- Bank of Thailand: rate on hold amid uneven recovery
- Important Notice
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Authors
Kausani BasakJennifer Kusuma
Securities
THB
Themes
Monetary Policy NormalizationInflation Dynamics
Regions
Asia PacificThailand