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June 25, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEquitiesEnergyReal Estate

Global markets are reacting to lower oil prices and shifting monetary policy expectations. ANZ highlights receding inflation fears contributing to a drop in bond yields, despite mixed equity market performance.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Oil prices declined sharply, with WTI around USD70/bbl, contributing to a broader drop in global bond yields.
  • 2.The RBA is expected to hold the cash rate at 4.35% in August following Australian CPI data that came in slightly below forecasts.
  • 3.US new home sales dropped 7.3% m/m to 580k saar, signaling continued weakness in the US housing sector.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Market at 6:45am today
  • Key data releases
  • What's ahead today
  • Commodities

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Authors

Adam BoytonBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

WTI Crude OilUS 10-year Treasury note

Themes

Inflationary expectationsMonetary policy

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesAustraliaGermany