Asia Economic Outlook

The Q3 2026 Asia Economic Outlook highlights how the semiconductor-led 'tech supercycle' is shielding several Asian economies from the residual effects of the Middle East conflict. Central banks across the region are signaling a pivot toward tighter monetary policy to address rising inflation.

Key Takeaways

• 1.The global tech supercycle is significantly offsetting economic headwinds from the Middle East conflict in Asian markets.
• 2.Monetary policy across the region is shifting toward tightening as growth becomes more secure and inflation pressures build.
• 3.Indonesia and the Philippines remain the region's main exceptions to the growth resilience, with weaker macro positions and external pressures.

Table of Contents

• Regional Overview
• Economic and Financial Market Forecasts
• Mainland China
• India
• Indonesia
• Malaysia
• The Philippines
• Singapore
• South Korea
• Taiwan
• Thailand
• Vietnam
• Contacts
• Important Notice

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