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June 18, 2026

New Zealand Morning Focus

Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsEquitiesFXOther

The US Fed surprised markets with hawkish guidance following an interest rate hold, leading to a rise in bond yields and a shift in market risk appetite. Attention also turns to the upcoming UK by-election and its potential implications for domestic policy.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US Fed held interest rates steady but delivered more hawkish forward guidance than markets anticipated.
  • 2.Market sentiment has turned risk-averse, with US bond yields rising and the NZD weakening.
  • 3.Potential political leadership shifts in the UK following a by-election create fiscal uncertainty and volatility risks for gilts and sterling.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Data and events today
  • Financial markets
  • Global markets overview
  • Key data and events
  • Key themes and views

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Authors

Matt DillyBrian Martin

Securities

S&P 500US 10-yr Treasury note

Themes

Monetary Policy NormalizationFiscal Policy Uncertainty

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesNew ZealandUnited Kingdom