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ANZ

July 13, 2026

India Insight

Monthly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer StaplesEnergy

India's June CPI inflation rose to 4.4% y/y, exceeding expectations due to energy and food price pressures. ANZ Research expects the RBI to pause rate hikes in August.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.June CPI inflation reached 4.4% y/y, exceeding market expectations, driven by fuel and broad-based food price increases.
  • 2.The Reserve Bank of India is now expected to pause interest rate hikes at the August meeting rather than proceed with a 25bp hike.

Table of Contents

  • India's CPI inflation: above target and expectations
  • Key highlights
  • Outlook

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