The NZD has struggled against a resilient USD, remaining well below previous highs despite RBNZ rate activity. Analysts maintain a bullish outlook to 0.60 by year-end, supported by model fair value of 0.59.
Key Takeaways
- 1.NZD/USD is currently depressed in the mid-0.57s, weighed down by USD strength and broader market pressure, despite recent RBNZ rate hikes.
- 2.The firm expects a mild recovery in NZD/USD to 0.60 by year-end, supported by fair value models estimated at 0.59.
- 3.Speculative positioning for NZD is at extreme short levels, which may trigger stop-loss buying if prices move higher.
Table of Contents
- Recent developments and updated thoughts
- Historical charts
- Macroeconomic and financial scorecard
- Volatility monitor
- Fair value
- Market positioning
- Correlation analysis
- ANZ Forecasts
- Key global events calendar
- Contacts/Meet the team
- Important Notice
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Authors
David CroySharon Zollner
Securities
NZD/USDNZDAUDUSD DXY
Themes
Fair Value ValuationMonetary Policy
Regions
GlobalNew ZealandUnited StatesAustralia
