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June 17, 2026

Australian Market-Based Inflation Expectations Have Edged Higher

Macro ThematicRates CreditOther

Australian market-based inflation expectations have increased over the past year, though longer-term expectations remain anchored within the RBA's target range. The RBA is closely monitoring these developments, particularly regarding potential cost pressures from the Middle East conflict.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Market-based medium-term inflation expectations in Australia have drifted higher over the past year.
  • 2.Longer-term inflation expectations remain anchored within the RBA's 2–3% target range.
  • 3.The RBA is monitoring the risk that cost pressures from the Middle East conflict could impact inflation expectations.

Table of Contents

  • Australian market-based inflation expectations have edged higher
  • Details
  • Appendix
  • Other measures of inflation expectations

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