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June 17, 2026

AI: 2026's Other Shock

Macro ThematicEquitiesInformation Technology

The report examines the economic impact of the AI boom as of mid-2026, noting that while it drives significant capital investment, actual business adoption remains gradual and disconnected from high market valuations.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.AI investment is a major economic driver, accounting for a significant share of US GDP growth and business investment in Australia.
  • 2.There is a disconnect between financial market expectations for AI and the reality of gradual end-user adoption.
  • 3.Demographic shifts, specifically declining global fertility rates, will likely accelerate the adoption of AI to compensate for labour shortages.

Table of Contents

  • AI: 2026's other shock
  • An analogue investment boom
  • Bold claims need balance
  • Acknowledge fear and encourage imagination
  • AI augments

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