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Westpac Economics

May 19, 2026

Australia and New Zealand Weekly

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFXEnergyFinancials

Westpac analyzes the Australian 2026/27 Budget reforms and the sudden economic downturn in New Zealand caused by Middle East geopolitical tensions and energy price spikes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The 2026/27 Australian Federal Budget introduces significant tax reforms to capital gains tax and negative gearing to improve housing supply and productivity.
  • 2.New Zealand's economic outlook has deteriorated significantly due to energy price shocks from the Middle East conflict, leading to lower GDP forecasts and higher inflation.
  • 3.New Zealand monetary policy is expected to tighten, with the OCR projected to rise to 3% starting as early as May to combat persistent inflation.

Table of Contents

  • Economic Insight
  • The Week That Was
  • Focus on New Zealand
  • For the week ahead
  • Looking Further Ahead
  • Corporate Directory

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Authors

Luci EllisKelly EckholdElliot Clarke

Securities

Cash RateOfficial Cash Rate (OCR)AUDUSD

Themes

Energy-Induced InflationFiscal Reform under Inflationary PressureGeopolitical Disruption to Recovery

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeAustraliaNew ZealandChina