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Westpac Economics

May 11, 2026

Australia and New Zealand Weekly

Weekly UpdateRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsFXInformation TechnologyFinancials

Westpac has pushed back its expectation for further RBA rate hikes to August and September following a more cautious tone from Governor Bullock. Meanwhile, structural trends like AI and ageing populations are viewed as net positives for female workforce participation in Australia.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Westpac has shifted its RBA rate hike forecast, now expecting two additional hikes in August and September rather than June and August.
  • 2.Long-term trends including population ageing and the AI revolution present unique labor market opportunities for Australian women.
  • 3.The New Zealand labor market is stabilizing with the unemployment rate falling to 5.3% in Q1, though Middle East conflict risks remain a headwind.

Table of Contents

  • Economic Insight
  • The Week That Was
  • Focus on New Zealand
  • Australia: 2026/27 Federal Budget
  • Australia: March Wage Price Index (%qtr)
  • Australia: Q1 Housing Finance Approvals (%qtr)
  • NZ: Q2 RBNZ Survey of Inflation Expectations (%yr)
  • NZ: Apr REINZ House Sales and Prices (%yr)
  • NZ: Apr Monthly Selected Prices (%mth)
  • US: Apr CPI (%mth)
  • For the week ahead
  • Economic & financial forecasts

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Authors

Luci EllisMichael GordonElliot Clarke

Securities

RBA Cash RateRBNZ Cash RateAUDUSD

Themes

Monetary Policy Tactical ShiftsEconomic Empowerment of Women via TechnologyGeopolitical Inflation Risks

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaAustraliaNew ZealandUnited States