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February 13, 2026

International Week Ahead

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther

This report previews key economic releases for the week of February 16-20, focusing on Japan's GDP rebound and Canadian inflation trends.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Japan's Q4 GDP is expected to rebound (1.2% forecast), keeping Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes on the table for 2026.
  • 2.Canada's headline inflation is likely to rise to 2.5% in January due to base effects, but cooling core inflation provides the BoC room to cut rates.
  • 3.Brazil's December activity data will be the final major indicator before the March BCB meeting, where a 25 or 50 bps cut is debated.

Table of Contents

  • Japan Q4 GDP
  • Canada January CPI
  • Brazil December Activity
  • Banxico February Meeting Minutes

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Authors

Tom PorcelliBrendan McKenna

Securities

Selic Rate10-year JGBs

Themes

Central Bank Policy DivergenceInflation Normalization

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaLatin AmericaJapanCanadaBrazil