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May 25, 2026

Yield Volatility Creates an Opportunity in Quality Bonds

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UBS maintains a preference for short- to medium-duration quality bonds as elevated yields provide attractive income and defensive stability amidst geopolitical volatility. While the Fed remains hawkish, potential growth risks from high oil prices could eventually lead to rate cuts that favor fixed income.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Current elevated yields in quality bonds offer an attractive entry point to lock in robust income-driven returns.
  • 2.Quality bonds serve as a stabilizer during market stress due to their low correlation with equities.
  • 3.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Iran/US) are driving yield volatility and keeping inflation concerns high.

Table of Contents

  • From Circle One
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 22 May
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Mark HaefeleFrederick MellorsThemis Themistocleous

Securities

SPXUS 10-Year TreasuryNVDABrent Crude

Themes

Quality Bonds over Yield VolatilityMiddle East Geopolitical RiskMonetary Policy Divergence/Inflation

Regions

EuropeMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranGermany