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UBS

June 15, 2026

What Role Can Gold Play In Portfolios

Market ReportCommoditiesOther

Gold has recently struggled due to geopolitical conflict and high interest rates but remains an attractive portfolio diversifier. UBS maintains a positive long-term outlook, forecasting price appreciation through mid-2027.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Gold has faced headwinds due to Middle East conflict-related rate concerns but remains a strategic portfolio diversifier.
  • 2.Price forecasts are lowered for the remainder of 2026, with an expectation to reach USD 4,600/oz by year-end.

Table of Contents

  • The Middle East crisis has presented headwinds for gold.
  • While a US-Iran peace deal will help, the outlook for gold has become less bright.
  • That said, we expect gold to recover over the coming year and see it as a good diversifier for portfolios.
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Authors

Giovanni StaunovoDominic SchniderChristopher Swann

Securities

XAU

Themes

Geopolitical riskPortfolio diversificationCentral bank policy

Regions

Middle EastUnited StatesIran