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UBS

May 21, 2026

Weekly Regional View Italian

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

The report highlights a breakdown in the historical negative correlation between bond yields and equity markets, with stocks rising despite inflation and yield pressures. UBS maintains an 'Attractive' view on global equities while favoring diversification and quality bonds.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The traditional negative correlation between bond yields and equities has broken down; equities are reaching new highs despite rising yields and slowing growth.
  • 2.Elevated yields on quality bonds (short and intermediate term) represent a buying opportunity as markets overprice potential rate hikes in the euro area and the US labor market softens.
  • 3.Global equities remain 'Attractive' over the medium term, driven by AI investment, but investors should diversify beyond megacap technology names.

Table of Contents

  • Broken chain reactions
  • Weekly - Regional View Italian
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk Information
  • Generic investment research – Risk information:

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Authors

Matteo Ramenghi

Securities

10-year US TreasurySPXSX5EItalian BTPGerman Bunds

Themes

Breakdown of traditional asset correlationsArtificial Intelligence as a market driverInflation vs. Labor Market policy trade-offs

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesItalyGermany