UBS
June 15, 2026
Weekly Global
Weekly UpdateEquitiesCommoditiesRates CreditEnergyInformation Technology
A US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has boosted global sentiment and lowered oil prices. However, central banks remain cautious regarding inflation, with the Federal Reserve expected to maintain a hawkish stance.
Key Takeaways
- 1.A US-Iran framework deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a risk-on market move and potential for reduced energy price pressure.
- 2.Central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, are expected to remain cautious and hawkish, delaying rate cuts despite geopolitical easing.
- 3.Tech sector volatility remains high due to regulatory concerns over AI and capital expenditure pressures on profitability.
Table of Contents
- What to watch in the week ahead
- Can the US-Iran breakthrough deal deliver?
- Iran latest developments and geopolitics
- The outlook on central banks
- Tech and what comes next
- Can the tech rally re-accelerate?
- Chart of the week
- Non-Traditional Assets
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Appendix
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Authors
Mark Haefele
Securities
SPXBrent Crude
Themes
GeopoliticsArtificial IntelligenceCentral Bank Policy
Regions
Middle EastUnited StatesIranJapan
