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June 15, 2026

US-Iran Escalation: Beneficiaries From A Peace Agreement

Market ReportEquitiesCommoditiesIndustrialsConsumer Discretionary

The potential US-Iran peace agreement and subsequent reopening of the Strait of Hormuz offer a catalyst for European equities, particularly within cyclical sectors like industrials and consumer goods. UBS identifies a basket of stocks expected to benefit from reduced energy-related supply constraints.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.A potential US-Iran peace agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would reduce energy-related supply constraints and lower costs, acting as a tailwind for European equities.
  • 2.Key sectors poised to benefit from normalized shipping and energy costs include industrials, consumer discretionary, autos, IT, and chemicals.
  • 3.The report highlights a list of specific European stocks across these cyclical sectors expected to rebound if the geopolitical situation stabilizes.

Table of Contents

  • US-Iran escalation: Beneficiaries from a peace agreement
  • What happened?
  • What investors should do?
  • List of stocks for European equities benefiting from the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
  • Risks to our thesis
  • Companies
  • Appendix

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Authors

Thomas ParmentierAchille Monnet

Securities

ADYEN NAAirbus

Themes

Energy Market NormalizationSupply Chain Resiliency

Regions

EuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesIranSwitzerland