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UBS

July 3, 2026

UBS House View Daily US

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsEnergyInformation Technology

This report emphasizes the strategic benefit of including commodities in investment portfolios for inflation hedging and diversification. Additionally, it analyzes the implications of the weaker-than-expected June US payrolls data and reaffirms an attractive outlook for Japanese equities.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The report advocates for broad commodity exposure in portfolios to enhance diversification and provide an inflation hedge.
  • 2.June US nonfarm payrolls undershot expectations at 57,000, leading to a delay in market-priced expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
  • 3.UBS maintains an Attractive rating on Japanese equities, noting a healthy corporate earnings backdrop and resilience in domestic manufacturing and retail.

Table of Contents

  • Consider broad commodity exposure in portfolios
  • From the studio
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 6 July
  • Inflation hedging
  • Downside protection
  • Caught our attention
  • Japanese stocks take a breather
  • Market update
  • Appendix

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