UBS
May 21, 2026
Trickle or Treat: Paul Donovan's Daily Audio
Daily UpdateCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEquitiesEnergyInformation Technology
Paul Donovan discusses the easing of oil transit restrictions by Iran and the Fed's cautious 'stable rates for longer' policy. He also highlights Japan's AI-driven export strength and upcoming business sentiment surveys.
Key Takeaways
- 1.A modest decline in oil prices occurred after Iran permitted some shipping transit through the Strait of Hormuz, though volumes remain well below pre-war levels.
- 2.Federal Reserve minutes suggest a 'stable rates for longer' stance amid concerns over labor market risks and persistent inflation.
- 3.Japan reported stronger-than-expected export growth for April, largely driven by global demand for artificial intelligence technology.
Table of Contents
- Audio
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Appendix
- Risk information
- Generic investment research – Risk information
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Authors
Paul Donovan
Securities
Oil
Themes
Wary monetary policy persistenceGeopolitical impact on energy supplyAI-driven global trade
Regions
Middle EastNorth AmericaAsia PacificIranUnited StatesJapan
