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May 14, 2026

The Political Costs of Affordability

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsCommoditiesConsumer StaplesEnergy

Paul Donovan discusses how political pressure regarding US food and energy costs is leading to executive interventions, while also noting steady core inflation and a lingering political risk premium in UK bonds.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US political landscape is shifting focus toward an 'affordability crisis,' with President Trump utilizing executive orders to address rising beef prices.
  • 2.Food and energy prices have a disproportionate impact on consumer inflation perceptions due to their high purchase frequency, even if core inflation remains steady.
  • 3.UK bond markets are showing signs of a political risk premium following recent periods of high uncertainty and political instability.

Table of Contents

  • Audio
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk information
  • Generic investment research – Risk information

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Authors

Paul Donovan

Securities

UK GiltsBeefOil

Themes

The impact of inflation perception on political interventionPolitical Risk Premiums in Sovereign Bonds

Regions

North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesGermanyUnited Kingdom