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UBS

July 7, 2026

Space Exploration Technologies Corp

Single Stock ReportEquitiesInformation Technology

UBS initiates coverage on SpaceX with a Buy rating and a $210 price target. The report highlights Starship's role as a transformative technology in lowering launch costs and unlocking scale in connectivity and orbital AI.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Initiating coverage of SpaceX with a Buy rating and price target of $210, citing an unparalleled set of assets and a TAM nearing $30T.
  • 2.Starship is the foundational technology expected to disrupt launch costs and unlock massive opportunities in connectivity and AI.
  • 3.Expect revenues/EBITDA to grow at a ~70%/90% CAGR through 2031, driven by AI compute scaling and next-gen satellite capacity.

Table of Contents

  • Thesis Map
  • Near and Mid-Term Signposts
  • Executive Summary
  • Pivotal Questions
  • What's Priced In?
  • Risks
  • Share Ownership & Considerations
  • Upside/Downside Spectrum
  • Company Description

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Authors

John C. HodulikBatya LeviGavin Parsons

Securities

SPCX

Themes

AI InfrastructureSpace ReusabilityVertical Integration

Regions

GlobalUnited States