UBS
May 10, 2026
Solid Jobs and Weaker Details
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsInformation Technology
The April jobs report showed headline payroll gains of 115k, beating expectations, but also a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.34% and cooling wage growth of 3.6%. These mixed signals suggest the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rate levels while monitoring for further signs of economic cooling.
Key Takeaways
- 1.April headline payroll growth was solid at 115k, significantly beating expectations of 65k.
- 2.The household survey revealed underlying weakness, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.34%.
- 3.Wage growth slowed to 3.6% YoY, suggesting labor cost pressures are not reaccelerating.
Table of Contents
- Solid jobs, weaker details. Fed on hold for now
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Appendix
- Risk information
- Generic investment research – Risk information
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Authors
Andrew Dubinsky
Securities
December interest rate options
Themes
Labor Market DecelerationFed Policy Wait-and-See
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
