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UBS

May 14, 2026

Selective Opportunities as European Earnings Momentum Improves

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyIndustrials

European earnings are expected to grow 10% in Q1 2026, marking a three-year high despite geopolitical tensions. UBS maintains a Neutral stance on Eurozone and UK equities, favoring selective exposure to IT, Industrials, and China tech.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.European companies are poised for their strongest quarterly earnings growth in three years, with Q1 2026 growth expected at nearly 10% year-over-year.
  • 2.UBS remains Neutral on Eurozone equities overall but sees selective opportunities in IT and Industrials driven by AI, electrification, and cost discipline.
  • 3.Potential leadership instability in the UK Labour Party has pushed 10-year gilt yields to their highest levels since 2008.

Table of Contents

  • From the studio
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 14 May
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk Information

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Authors

Mark HaefeleMatthew Gilman

Securities

NVDASPXSXXP10-year Gilt

Themes

Cost-Led Earnings RecoveryAI and Electrification Structural DriversGeopolitical Risk in Asset Pricing

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificUnited KingdomChinaUnited States