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May 19, 2026

Petrobras Stable National Oil Company

Market ReportRates CreditEnergy

Petrobras reported strong 1Q26 results with rising output and revenue, maintaining its status as a stable credit. UBS continues to recommend its 2035 USD bonds for hold-to-maturity strategies despite potential government pricing risks.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Petrobras remains a strong and stable credit, supported by robust 1Q26 operational and financial performance.
  • 2.Financial performance in 1Q26 was driven by higher Brent prices and increased hydrocarbon output, resulting in 11.7% YoY revenue growth.
  • 3.The risk of government interference in fuel pricing has increased due to Middle East tensions and domestic inflation concerns.

Table of Contents

  • Petrobras: Stable NOC
  • Good 1Q26...
  • sound debt ratios...
  • and liquid balance sheet
  • Credit ratings
  • Risk factors
  • Our bottom line
  • Required disclosures
  • UBS CIO risk views
  • UBS CIO valuation views
  • Risk Information

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Authors

Donald McLauchlan

Securities

PETR4Petrobras 6% 2035

Themes

EM Credit StabilityEnergy Sector FundamentalsGeopolitical Impact on State-Owned Enterprises

Regions

Latin AmericaBrazil