Paul Donovan uses the example of robotic lawnmowers to argue that capital-for-labor substitution in domestic tasks maintains living standards while diminishing the relevance of GDP.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Domestic capital substitution for labor (e.g., robot mowers replacing gardeners) maintains living standards while reducing or failing to contribute to GDP.
- 2.As populations age, the substitution of domestic capital for labor is expected to become more common, making GDP a less relevant metric for measuring living standards.
- 3.Advancements in AI and robotics improve domestic productivity, but these gains go unrecorded in economic data and create no disinflationary impulse.
Table of Contents
- Lawn economics
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Appendix
- Risk information
- Generic investment research – Risk information
- Additional Disclaimer relevant to Credit Suisse Wealth Management
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Authors
Paul Donovan
Themes
GDP Measurement LimitsCapital-for-Labor SubstitutionImpact of Aging PopulationsAI and Robotics in Productivity
Regions
GlobalUnited Kingdom
