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UBS

June 18, 2026

Japanese Equities

Market ReportEquitiesInformation TechnologyFinancials

UBS maintains an Attractive stance on Japanese equities, anticipating a broad market rally driven by AI-related growth and the recovery of lagging cyclical sectors.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Maintained an Attractive view on Japanese equities, noting a 15% year-to-date rebound in the TOPIX.
  • 2.FY26 earnings growth forecast revised upward to 10% from 7% due to strong FY25 results.
  • 3.Expectations for two Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes within the next 12 months.

Table of Contents

  • Japanese equities
  • Central scenario
  • Upside scenario
  • Downside scenario
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Chisa KobayashiHartmut Issel

Securities

TPX

Themes

AI Supply ChainCyclical RotationCorporate Governance Reforms

Regions

Asia PacificJapanUnited States