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June 18, 2026

Investing In Asia Pacific

Monthly UpdateEquitiesRates CreditCommoditiesInformation TechnologyFinancials

This report assesses the impact of AI-driven earnings growth and regional geopolitical stabilization on Asian markets. It maintains a constructive view on regional equities and credit while recommending diversification.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.AI remains the primary driver of regional earnings, with significant capital expenditure expected through 2027.
  • 2.The firm sees limited upside for Fed rate hikes, maintaining an attractive view on Asia credit despite near-term currency volatility.
  • 3.A US-Iran peace deal is expected to help stabilize oil prices and broaden regional performance beyond AI-focused sectors.

Table of Contents

  • Return on (A)I?
  • Further upside
  • High bar for hikes
  • Deal or no deal
  • Q1. Asian equities are enjoying one of the best stretches of performance since the mid-2000s. Will the drivers of the rally remain intact through 2H?
  • 2. The Fed could become more hawkish. What does this imply for Asia currencies and credit?
  • 3. Geopolitical risks are here to stay. How should investors navigate the associated volatility?
  • Asset allocation
  • Messages in focus
  • UBS APAC forecasts
  • Appendix
  • Risk Information

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Authors

Mark HaefeleMin Lan Tan

Securities

MSCI Asia ex-JapanJACI High Yield Index

Themes

AI Infrastructure CapexValue-Up Movement

Regions

Asia PacificJapanChinaIndia