UBS
June 18, 2026
Investing In Asia Pacific
Monthly UpdateEquitiesRates CreditCommoditiesInformation TechnologyFinancials
This report assesses the impact of AI-driven earnings growth and regional geopolitical stabilization on Asian markets. It maintains a constructive view on regional equities and credit while recommending diversification.
Key Takeaways
- 1.AI remains the primary driver of regional earnings, with significant capital expenditure expected through 2027.
- 2.The firm sees limited upside for Fed rate hikes, maintaining an attractive view on Asia credit despite near-term currency volatility.
- 3.A US-Iran peace deal is expected to help stabilize oil prices and broaden regional performance beyond AI-focused sectors.
Table of Contents
- Return on (A)I?
- Further upside
- High bar for hikes
- Deal or no deal
- Q1. Asian equities are enjoying one of the best stretches of performance since the mid-2000s. Will the drivers of the rally remain intact through 2H?
- 2. The Fed could become more hawkish. What does this imply for Asia currencies and credit?
- 3. Geopolitical risks are here to stay. How should investors navigate the associated volatility?
- Asset allocation
- Messages in focus
- UBS APAC forecasts
- Appendix
- Risk Information
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Authors
Mark HaefeleMin Lan Tan
Securities
MSCI Asia ex-JapanJACI High Yield Index
Themes
AI Infrastructure CapexValue-Up Movement
Regions
Asia PacificJapanChinaIndia
