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July 13, 2026

House View Briefcases

Market ReportCommoditiesEquitiesRates CreditEnergyHealth Care

This UBS House View report analyzes the market impact of US-Iran hostilities, Federal Reserve policy under the Warsh era, and strategies for income and equity diversification. It recommends maintaining exposure to global equities while strengthening portfolio resilience through active management and alternative investments.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Maintain diversified equity exposure despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns over US-Iran escalation.
  • 2.The Fed is likely to keep rates on hold for the remainder of 2026; locking in yields on quality bonds is recommended.
  • 3.Transformational innovation, specifically AI, Longevity, and Power/resources, remains a long-term growth driver.

Table of Contents

  • What does the US-Iran escalation mean for markets?
  • What does the Warsh era mean for Fed policy?
  • How can investors find income?
  • What role can gold play in portfolios?
  • How can investors diversify their equity holdings?
  • How can I invest in transformational innovation?
  • Should investors worry about private credit?
  • What is next for commodities?
  • Will record issuance be a headwind for US stocks?
  • How to diversify with alternatives?

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Authors

Christopher SwannVincent Heaney

Securities

S&P 500Brent CrudeSK Hynix

Themes

Artificial IntelligenceGeopolitical RiskLongevity

Regions

GlobalMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranGermany