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UBS

May 28, 2026

Gold Can Regain Momentum as Tightening Fears Fade

Daily UpdateCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEquitiesInformation Technology

UBS maintains a bullish outlook for gold with a year-end target of $5,500/oz despite recent pressure from high real yields. The bank also favors Asian tech amid a broadening AI hardware cycle and expects the Fed to pivot to rate cuts in late 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.UBS remains positive on gold, targeting USD 5,500/oz by year-end, driven by central bank buying and eventual Fed rate cuts.
  • 2.The Fed is expected to hold rates steady for now but likely cut in December 2026 as energy-driven inflation fears subside.
  • 3.Asia's tech sector is seeing broadening supply bottlenecks beyond memory into CPUs and AI-related components, supporting further gains.

Table of Contents

  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 28 May
  • Market update
  • Appendix
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Risk information

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Authors

Ulrike Hoffmann-BurchardiMark Haefele

Securities

XAUSPXNDX10-Year Treasury Bond

Themes

Gold as a Hedge for Fiscal RiskBroadening AI Hardware Cycle

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesIranIndia