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UBS

May 14, 2026

Global Forecasts

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsRates CreditReal EstateEnergy

This report provides UBS Chief Investment Office's weekly updated global forecasts for economic growth, inflation, interest rates, commodities, and equities through 2027.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global real GDP growth is forecasted at 3.0% for 2026, with the US at 2.2% and China at 4.5%.
  • 2.UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 7,500 by December 2026, supported by an EPS estimate of USD 310.
  • 3.Gold prices are forecasted to rise significantly to USD 5,900/oz by December 2026.

Table of Contents

  • Economic growth & inflation
  • Target rates overview
  • Interest rates
  • Credit spreads
  • Major currencies
  • Emerging market currencies
  • Commodities
  • Equity Markets
  • Real estate markets
  • Appendix: Contact
  • Appendix: Risk Information

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Authors

Daniel KaltMichael BolligerAlejo Czerwonko

Securities

SPXXAUEURUSDBrent Crude Oil

Themes

Macroeconomic NormalizationMonetary Policy Transition

Regions

GlobalNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesChinaSwitzerland