UBS
June 17, 2026
Global Economic Perspectives
Macro ThematicCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyIndustrials
Global seaborne oil and gas traffic remains down by 17% compared to pre-conflict benchmarks. While non-energy shipping has largely recovered, energy-specific routes, particularly in Asia, remain severely impacted.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Global seaborne oil and gas shipping traffic is currently down 17% relative to pre-conflict levels.
- 2.The shortfall in Gulf-Asia shipping routes is significant (down 40%) and has not been fully offset by increased flows from the US.
- 3.Non-energy related shipping traffic has shown a rebound from its March lows and remains generally resilient despite energy price volatility.
Table of Contents
- Global Economic Perspectives
- Valuation Method and Risk Statement
- Required Disclosures
- Analyst Certification
- UBS Global Research Disclaimer
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Authors
Pierre LafourcadeArend KapteynAlan Detmeister
Themes
Global Supply Chain DisruptionEnergy Inventory Depletion
Regions
Asia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesBrazilNigeria
