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UBS

May 25, 2026

Emerging Market Equities

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

UBS maintains an Attractive rating on EM equities with a 1,820 target for Dec 2026, driven by a 58% earnings growth forecast and the global AI buildout. Prefer exposure to China tech, South Korea, Indonesia, and Malaysia while downgrading Brazil to Neutral.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.UBS remains Attractive on emerging market equities, forecasting 58% earnings growth in 2026.
  • 2.The Dec 2026 target for the MSCI EM index has been revised to 1,820, supported by AI innovation and manufacturing leadership.
  • 3.Brazilian equities have been downgraded to Neutral due to political uncertainty and a less supportive monetary outlook (Selic rate terminal raised to 14%).

Table of Contents

  • Emerging market equities
  • Upside scenario
  • Downside scenario
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk information

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Authors

Laura SmithAlejo CzerwonkoXingchen Yu

Securities

MXEF2330.TWSamsungSK Hynix

Themes

AI Buildout and MonetizationMemory SupercycleIndex Concentration RiskPolitical and Policy Volatility

Regions

Asia PacificLatin AmericaAfricaChinaSouth KoreaIndonesia