This report outlines investment opportunities and credit outlooks for Emerging Market oil and gas companies, emphasizing the impact of energy prices and regional geopolitical dynamics. Analysts provide recommendations on specific bonds across Asian, CEEMEA, and Latin American issuers.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Energy prices and Middle East supply dynamics remain the primary drivers for EM oil and gas issuer performance.
- 2.The report highlights specific value opportunities in bonds from issuers in Asia, CEEMEA, and Latin America.
- 3.Oil prices are expected to recover in coming months following a recent retreat from peak volatility.
Table of Contents
- EM Credit Navigator: EM oil and gas
- Emerging market bonds
- Spotlight on oil prices
- Higher energy prices serve as a tailwind for 1Q26 performance
- How to position
- Issuer views
- Asia
- CEEMEA
- Latin America
- UBS CIO risk views
- UBS CIO valuation views
- Sell recommendations
- Issuer valuation views
- Required Disclosures
- Risk Information
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Authors
Tatiana BoroditskayaDevinda ParanathanthriDonald McLauchlanJoel Tan
Securities
Medco Energi 8.625% 2030Thai Oil 2.5% 2030Saudi Aramco 5.375% 2035Ecopetrol 4.625% 2031
Themes
Energy price volatilityGeopolitical risk in the Strait of Hormuz
Regions
Asia PacificEuropeMiddle EastChinaSouth KoreaIndonesia