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UBS

May 21, 2026

Development Bank Bonds

Market ReportRates CreditMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrialsEnergy

UBS views Multilateral Development Bank (MDB) bonds as an attractive, high-quality alternative to cash, offering a modest yield premium over US Treasuries. The asset class is supported by significant global commitments to climate adaptation and a potential easing cycle by central banks.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Multilateral development bank (MDB) bonds offer a high-quality alternative to cash with slightly higher yields than US Treasuries.
  • 2.Climate adaptation finance is a significant driver for MDBs, with over USD 31 billion committed in 2024 following the COP30 conference.
  • 3.Market risks are centered on the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz and energy prices, though central banks are positioned to handle potential supply shocks.

Table of Contents

  • Central scenario
  • Global Asset Class Preference Attractive
  • Development Bank Bonds
  • Upside scenario
  • Downside scenario
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk information

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Authors

Thomas WackerFrederick MellorsCarolina Corvalan

Securities

US Treasuries

Themes

Climate Finance & AdaptationGeopolitical Supply ShocksFixed Income Duration Opportunity

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesIranChina