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June 18, 2026

Daily Europe

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyIndustrials

The Federal Reserve held rates steady but adopted a more hawkish tone in its projections. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions eased slightly due to a US-Iran deal and a US-EU trade agreement.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.50-3.75% with a hawkish shift in guidance and projections.
  • 2.The EU and US signed a trade agreement to reduce import duties, alleviating immediate escalation risks.
  • 3.US and Iran signed an interim agreement to end conflict, including the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Table of Contents

  • From Circle One
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 18 June
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Mark Haefele

Securities

S&P 500Brent Crude

Themes

Fed HawkishnessGeopolitical De-escalationEU Strategic Autonomy

Regions

North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesUnited KingdomIran