UBS
May 10, 2026
Daily Audio: Firing Amidst a Ceasefire
Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesOther
UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan discusses the escalating US-Iran maritime conflict and its potential to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed longer than expected. He also covers shifting US-EU trade deadlines and the anticipated US April employment and consumer sentiment data.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Escalating conflict between the US and Iran increases the risk that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed longer than market expectations.
- 2.US trade policy remains volatile with the Trump administration extending EU trade deadlines and a court ruling against specific Section 122 tariffs.
- 3.Upcoming US employment data is expected to show moderate gains, though economists warn that deportation policies could paradoxically reduce citizen employment.
Table of Contents
- Audio
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Appendix
- Risk information
- Generic investment research – Risk information
- Important Information About Sustainable Investing Strategies
- Additional Disclaimer relevant to Credit Suisse Wealth Management
Document Preview
Access the Full Report
Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.
Authors
Paul Donovan
Themes
Geopolitical ConflictTrade Policy
Regions
North AmericaMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranUnited Arab Emirates
