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UBS

June 11, 2026

CIO View: Gold

Commodities StrategyCommoditiesOther

UBS has lowered its gold price forecasts to 2027, citing delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts and resilient US economic data. Despite near-term downward pressure, the firm maintains a constructive medium-term outlook for the metal.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Gold prices are facing near-term pressure from strong US economic data and higher real yields.
  • 2.UBS has lowered gold price forecasts due to the delayed start of Federal Reserve rate cuts to 2027.
  • 3.Central bank purchases remain a critical pillar of support for gold, despite slower momentum compared to Q1.

Table of Contents

  • Double whammy
  • Investment implications
  • Appendix

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Authors

Dominic SchniderGiovanni StaunovoWayne Gordon

Securities

XAU

Themes

Geopolitical risk

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesIranChina