UBS
May 21, 2026
CIO View Commodities June Update
Monthly UpdateCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergyMaterials
The UBS June update highlights that commodities are performing solidly, particularly energy, due to the prolonged restriction of flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Active management is recommended to hedge against inflation and supply shocks across energy, metals, and agricultural sectors.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Restricted energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz are significantly depleting global oil inventories and driving prices upward.
- 2.Industrial metal prices are showing V-shaped recovery resilience, supported by electrification trends and high production costs.
- 3.Gold serves as a critical geopolitical hedge against the Iran War and potential inflation, despite headwinds from central bank policy hikes.
Table of Contents
- CIO View: Commodities
- Appendix
- Risk information
- Generic investment research – Risk information
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Authors
Giovanni StaunovoWayne GordonDominic Schnider
Securities
Brent CrudeCLXAUHGAluminum
Themes
Geopolitical Energy Supply ShocksInflation HedgingElectrification Demand
Regions
Middle EastAsia PacificGlobalSaudi ArabiaUnited Arab EmiratesIran
